¿Cuánto duraremos?
Keywords:
Horizonte de credibilidad, predicción científica (es)Downloads
Cuando se pide a la física que se refiera al destino de la vida sobre el planeta se apela a su capacidad para predecir el futuro. Aquí cuestionamos dicha capacidad y presentamos el concepto de horizonte de credibilidad de la predicción científica, el que acota el alcance de toda afirmación acerca del futuro. En particular, las proposiciones de la cosmología acerca del devenir del entorno material que sustenta la vida humana deben leerse como afirmaciones de alcance acotado, y no como verdades finales.
When physics is asked to make a statement of the end of times t he issue of its real capability for predicting the fut ure is brought about. Here we question such capability and present the concept of a credibility horizon in scientific prediction, which makes explicit the existence of a limited scope to whatsoever statement about t he future. In part icular, the proposit ions of cosmology about t he evolution of the material substrate that makes life posible, or about the end of time, must be read as statements of bounded validity and not as a final truth.
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