Publicado

1985-01-01

Factual and cognitive probability

Palabras clave:

Probability, physical theories, statistical inference, cognitive, cognitive probability, Bayesian, classical statistical, methods (es)

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Autores/as

  • Rolando Chuaqui Universidad Católica de Chile

This modification separates the two aspects of probability: probability as a part of physical theories (factual), and as a basis for statistical inference (cognitive). Factual probability is represented by probability structures as in the earlier papers, but now built independently of the language. Cognitive probability is interpreted as a form of "partial truth". The paper also contains a discussion of the Principle of Insufficient Reason and of Bayesian and classical statistical methods, in the light of the new definition.