Publicado

2026-04-15

Wind Resource Evaluation in High-Mountain Ecosystems of the Andean Region Through Weibull Distributions and IDEAM Meteorological Record

Evaluación del recurso eólico en ecosistemas de alta montaña de la región andina mediante distribuciones de Weibull con datos meteorológicos del IDEAM

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15446/sicel.v12.121188

Palabras clave:

Wind Energy, Weibull distribution, high altitude ecosystems, data automation, meteorological analysis (en)
Energía eólica, ecosistemas de páramo, automatización de datos, análisis meteorológico (es)

Descargas

Autores/as

In response to the challenges of the energy transition and the need to diversify Colombia’s electricity mix, this research project focused on studying the wind potential in high-mountain ecosystems in the Andean region, using meteorological data from IDEAM. The study looked at the possibility of generating small-scale electricity in isolated communities by applying the Weibull statistical distribution. A quantitative and exploratory approach was used. More than 70 data files were cleaned, filtered by percentiles, and validated. A Python-based tool was created to automate the data processing, distribution fitting, wind power estimation, and interactive visualization through a web application. In addition, data from NASA’s POWER API was included for comparison. The results showed that most stations had low wind potential (less than 50 W/m²), although some specific areas had better conditions and a better statistical fit using the NASA data.

En respuesta a los desafíos de la transición energética y la necesidad de diversificar la matriz eléctrica de Colombia, este proyecto de investigación se enfocó en caracterizar el potencial eólico en ecosistemas de alta montaña de la región andina, utilizando datos meteorológicos del IDEAM. El estudio evaluó la viabilidad de generación eléctrica a pequeña escala en comunidades aisladas mediante la aplicación de la distribución estadística de Weibull. Se adoptó un enfoque cuantitativo y exploratorio. Más de 70 archivos fueron limpiados, filtrados por percentiles y validados. Se desarrolló una herramienta en Python capaz de automatizar el procesamiento, ajuste de distribución, estimación de potencia eólica y visualización interactiva a través de una aplicación web. Además, se incorporaron datos de la API POWER de la NASA para comparaciones complementarias. Los resultados mostraron que la mayoría de estaciones presentan bajo potencial (menos de 50 W/m²), aunque se identificaron zonas con mejores condiciones y mayor ajuste en registros de la NASA.

Descargas

Los datos de descargas todavía no están disponibles.

Citas

[1]. Y. Shang, S. Sang, A. K. Tiwari, S. Khan, and X. Zhao, "Im-pacts of renewable energy on climate risk: A global per-spective for energy transition in a climate adaptation framework," Appl. Energy, vol. 362, 2024, doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.122994.

[2]. UNDP, “What is the sustainable energy transition and why is it key to tackling climate change?” UNDP Climate Promise, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://climatepromise.undp.org/news-and-stories/what-sustainable-energy-transition-and-why-it-key-tackling-climate-change. [Accessed: Jan. 29, 2025].

[3]. P. Friedlingstein et al., "Global carbon budget 2024," Earth Syst. Sci. Data, vol. 17, p 965, 2025. doi: 10.5194/essd-17-965-2025.

[4]. M. Hefner, G. Marland, and T. Oda., T. The changing mix of fossil fuels used and the related evolution of CO2 emissions. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change 29, 56 (2024). Doi: 10.1007/s11027-024-10149-x.

[5]. A. G. Olabi and M. A. Abdelkareem, "Renewable energy and climate change," Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev., vol. 158, p. 112111, 2022. doi: 10.1016/j.rser.2022.112111.

[6]. O. Summerfield-Ryan and S. Park, "The power of wind: The global wind energy industry's successes and failures," Ecol. Econ., vol. 210, p. 107841, 2023. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2023.107841.

[7]. S. Wang, S. Li, and H. Yu. A power generation accumula-tion-based adaptive chaotic differential evolution algo-rithm for wind turbine placement problems. Electron. Res. Arch., 2024, 32(7): 4659-4683. doi: https://doi.org/10.3934/era.2024212

[8]. S. C. Pryor, T. J. Shepherd, and R. J. Barthelmie, "Interan-nual variability of wind climates and wind turbine annual energy production," Wind Energy Sci., vol. 3, pp. 651-665, 2018. doi: 10.5194/wes-3-651-2018.

[9]. T. Haas, J. De Schutter, M. Diehl, and J. Meyers, "Large-eddy simulation of airborne wind energy farms," Wind En-ergy Sci., vol. 7, pp. 1093-1135, 2022. doi: 10.5194/wes-7-1093-2022.

[10]. Y. Liu and M. Chertkov, "Anomalous response of floating offshore wind turbine to wind and waves," Wind Energy Sci. Discuss., preprint, 2024. doi: 10.5194/wes-2024-14.

[11]. Coelho P. The Betz limit and the corresponding thermo-dynamic limit. Wind Engineering. 2022;47(2):491-496. doi: 10.1177/0309524X221130109

[12]. Aziz, A., Tsuanyo, D., Nsouandele, J. et al. Influence of Weibull parameters on the estimation of wind energy po-tential. Sustain. Energy Res., 10, 5 (2023). doi: 10.1186/s40807-023-00075-y

[13]. M. Sumair, T. Aized, S. A. R. Gardezi, S. U. Ur Rehman, and S. M. S. Rehman, "A novel method developed to esti-mate Weibull parameters," Energy Rep., vol. 6, pp. 1715-1733, 2020. doi: 10.1016/j.egyr.2020.06.017.

[14]. T. J. Ayua and M. E. Emetere, "Technical analysis of wind energy potentials using a modified Weibull and Raleigh distribution model parameters approach in the Gam-bia," Heliyon, vol. 9, no. 9, p. e20315, 2023, doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20315.

[15]. B. El Kihel, N. E. E. Kadri Elyamani, and A. Chillali. Evalua-tion of Weibull parameters for wind energy analysis in the eastern region of the Kingdom of Morocco. Wind Engi-neering. 2024;48(5):687-707. doi: 10.1177/0309524X231225965

[16]. O. Bingöl and A. Bulut, “Estimation of Weibull distribution parameters for wind energy applications: A case study of Dinar region in Turkey”, IJTS, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 1–10, 2022, doi: 10.55974/utbd.1033090.

[17]. U. Erisoglu, N. Aras, and H. D. Yildizay, "Optimum method for determining Weibull distribution parameters used in wind energy estimation," Pak. J. Stat. Oper. Res., vol. 16, no. 4, pp. 635–648, 2020, doi: 10.18187/pjsor.v16i4.3456.

[18]. S. Elmer-Larico, "Wind energy potential by the Weibull dis-tribution at high-altitude Peruvian highlands," Int. J. Smart Grid, vol. 5, no. 3, pp. 113-120, 2021. doi: 10.20508/ijsmartgrid.v5i3.199.g154.

[19]. J. Vega Araújo and M. Muñoz Cabré, "Solar and wind power in Colombia: 2022 policy overview," SEI Brief, 2023. doi: 10.51414/sei2023.015.

[20]. J. P. Jaramillo-Cardona, J. C. Perafan-Lopez, J. L. Torres-Madroñero, C. Nieto-Londoño, and J. Sierra-Pérez, "Tech-no-economic assessment of small wind turbines under La Guajira-Colombia resource conditions," CT&F Cienc., Tecnol. Futuro, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 45-56, 2022. doi: 10.29047/01225383.400.

[21]. N. Torres Garzón, "Colombian wind farm end-of-life raises circularity and Indigenous questions," Mongabay, Nov. 9, 2023. [Online]. Availa-ble: https://news.mongabay.com/2023/11/colombian-wind-farm-end-of-life-raises-circularity-and-indigenous-questions/. [Accessed: Mar. 16, 2025].

[22]. H. A. Arregocés, G. J. Bonivento, and R. Rojano, "Wind power potential over northern South America using ERA5-Land global reanalysis," Clean Energy, vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 104-112, 2024. doi: 10.1093/ce/zkad096.

[23]. A. Rodriguez-Caviedes and I. C. Gil-García, "Multifactori-al analysis to determine the applicability of wind power technologies in favorable areas of the Colombian territo-ry," Wind, vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 357-393, 2022. doi: 10.3390/wind2020020.

[24]. J. A. Guzmán Manrique, "Análisis de la distribución espa-cial del potencial eólico en el territorio colom-biano," Ing. USBMed, vol. 12, no. 1, 2022. doi: 10.21500/20275846.4366.

[25]. S. Vega-Zuñiga, J. G. Rueda-Bayona, and A. Ospino-Castro, "Evaluation of eleven numerical methods for de-termining Weibull parameters for wind energy generation in the Caribbean region of Colombia," Math. Model. Eng. Probl., vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 194-199, 2022. doi: 10.18280/mmep.090124.

[26]. A. Martinez and G. Iglesias, "Climate change and wind energy potential in South America," Sci. Total Environ., vol. 957, p. 177675, Dec. 2024. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177675.

[27]. A. A. Rajput, F. H. Khoso, M. Daniyal, M. Shafi, M. Mus-taqeemZahid, H. Nafees, and Z. Uddin, "A python pro-gram to model and analyze wind speed data," Int. J. Emerg. Trends Eng. Res., vol. 9, no. 6, Jun. 2021. doi: 10.30534/ijeter/2021/24962021.

[28]. P. Virtanen, R. Gommers, T. E. Oliphant et al., "SciPy 1.0: fundamental algorithms for scientific computing in Py-thon," Nat. Methods, vol. 17, pp. 261-272, 2020. doi: 10.1038/s41592-019-0686-2.

[29]. IDEAM, Catálogo nacional de estaciones. 2025. [Onli-ne]. Availa-ble: https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fbart.ideam.gov.co%2Fcneideam%2FCNE_IDEAM.xls&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK. [Accessed: Aug. 29, 2025].

[30]. S. Wang et al., "A new Kolmogorov-Smirnov test based on representative points in Weibull distribu-tions," Commun. Stat. Simul. Comput., pp. 1-15, 2024 doi: 10.1080/03610918.2024.2391871.

[31]. W. Weibull, “A statistical distribution function of wide ap-plicability,” J. Appl. Mech., vol. 18, pp. 293–297, 1951, doi: 10.1115/1.4010337

[32]. A. Genc, M. Erisoglu, A. Pekgor, G. Oturanc, A. Hepbasli, and K. Ulgen, "Estimation of wind power potential using Weibull distribution," Energy Sources, vol. 27, no. 9, pp. 809-822, 2005. doi: 10.1080/00908310490450647.

[33]. T. L. Grigorie, L. Dinca, J.-I. Corcau, and O. Grigorie, "Air-crafts' altitude measurement using pressure information: Barometric altitude and density altitude," WSEAS Trans. Circuits Syst., vol. 9, no. 7, pp. 469-478, 2010.