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Applying hydrological modeling to unravel the effects of land use change on the runoff of a paramo ecosystem
Aplicación de modelamiento hidrológico para desentrañar los efectos del cambio de uso de la tierra en la escorrentía de un ecosistema de páramo
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15446/dyna.v89n221.98132Palabras clave:
land use change; calibration; modeling; HBV-light; paramo ecosystem (en)cambio de uso de la tierra; calibración; modelos; HBV-light; ecosistema de páramo (es)
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To gather insight into the impact of afforestation on the hydrology of a mountain river basin a comparative study was conducted with the objective to derive answers to the following questions: 1) How to calibrate the parameters of hydrological models subject to land use change? 2) What is the impact on peaks, total flow, and baseflow when land use gradually changes from tussock-grass to pine plantation? and 3) Is the impact different when land use changes gradually from upstream to downstream (U-D) or from downstream to upstream (D-U)? The results show that total flow, baseflow and peaks are respectively reduced by 21%, 66% and 21%. This study presents a calibration approach to quantify the effects of land use change before it is done.
Para conocer mejor el impacto de la forestación en la hidrología de una cuenca hidrográfica de montaña se realizó un estudio comparativo para obtener respuestas a las siguientes preguntas: 1) ¿Cómo calibrar los parámetros de los modelos hidrológicos sujetos a cambios de uso de la tierra? 2) ¿Cuál es el impacto sobre los picos, el caudal total y el caudal base cuando el uso de la tierra cambia gradualmente de pasto a plantaciones de pinos? y 3) ¿El impacto es diferente cuando el uso de la tierra cambia gradualmente de aguas arriba a aguas abajo (U-D) o de aguas abajo a aguas arriba (D-U)? Los resultados muestran que el flujo total, el flujo base y los picos disminuyen un 21%, 66% y 21% respectivamente. Este estudio presenta un procedimiento de calibración para cuantificar los efectos del cambio de uso de la tierra antes de que se lleve a cabo.
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