Published

2019-07-01

Determination of Urban Earthquake Risk for Kırşehir, Turkey

Determinación del riesgo urbano en caso de un terremoto en Kirsehir, Turquía

Keywords:

Máximo Urban area, loss estimation, Kırşehir, Turkey, earthquake (en)
área urbana, estimación de perdidas, Kirsehir, Turquía, terremotos (es)

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Authors

  • Ercan Isik Bitlis Eren Üniversitesi
  • Coskun Sagir Bitlis Eren Üniversitesi
  • Zuhal Tozlu Bitlis Eren Üniversitesi
  • Umit Salim Ustaoglu Bitlis Eren Üniversitesi

Predicting the outcomes of earthquakes before they occur is one of the fundamental components of modern disaster management. Loss estimation analyses have an important place at the assessment stage of earthquakes and in estimation of losses that earthquakes may lead to. With these analyses, it is possible to access information that is relevant to potential damages and losses. In this paper, loss estimation analyses were carried out by using the earthquake scenario which foresaw a previous earthquake that was experienced in an around Kırşehir which is seismically active and located in the Central Anatolia Region in Turkey. The 1938 Akpınar earthquake which occurred in and around the province of Kırşehir was taken into consideration as an earthquak escenario, and loss estimation analyses were conducted for this earthquake scenario. In this paper, significant contributions will be made for preparation of an earthquake master plan and risk management plan for Kırşehir. Besides, studies on reduction of earthquake losses in the region may utilise these results.

La predicción de los efectos de los terremotos es uno de los componentes principales de la administración moderna de desastres. Los análisis de estimación de perdidas son fundamentales en la etapa de evaluación y en la valoración de los daños que un terremoto podría ocasionar. Con estos análisis es posible evaluar la información que es relevante para los daños y las perdidas potenciales. En este artículo, los análisis de estimación de perdidas se realizaron en el escenario de un terremoto previo en el área de Kirsehir, que es sismicamente activa y se localiza en la Región Central de Anatolia, en Turquía. El terremoto de Akpinar, en 1938, que ocurrió la zona de estudio, se consideró como el escenario del terremoto, y los análisis de estimación de perdidas se realizaron con base a este escenario. Con este estudio, se hace contribuciones significativas para la preparación de un plan maestro de terremotos y un plan de manejo del riesgo para Kirsehir. También los estudios de reducción de perdidas en la región podrían utilizar estos resultados.

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