Estabilidad financiera y crédito en la economía colombiana
Financial Stability and Credit in the Colombian Economy
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15446/ede.v35n67.113006Palabras clave:
crédito, capital, regulación, estabilidad financiera, econometría (es)credit, capital, regulation, financial stability, Econometrics (en)
crédito, capital, regulamentação, estabilidade financeira, econometria (pt)
Descargas
Este artículo analiza las relaciones entre crédito, estabilidad financiera y capital regulatorio desde una visión macroeconómica con series de tiempo. Para ello, se analizan la evolución de la relación de solvencia y el crédito en la economía colombiana durante el período 2010-2023. Se realiza un ejercicio econométrico para analizar los efectos que trae el capital regulatorio sobre el crédito y su crecimiento. Los resultados dan cuenta de que un mayor capital regulatorio disminuye el ritmo de crecimiento de los préstamos en la economía colombiana.
This paper analyzes the relations between credit, financial stability and regulatory capital from a macroeconomic vision with time series. To do this, we analyze the evolution of solvency and credit in the Colombian economy during the 2010-2023 period. An economic exercise is carried out to analyze the effects that the regulatory capital brings on credit. The results show that larger regulatory capital decreases the growth rate of loans in the economy.
Este artigo analisa as relações entre crédito, estabilidade financeira e capital regulatório a partir de uma visão macroeconômica com séries temporais. Para isso, analisa-se a evolução da relação entre solvência e crédito na economia colombiana durante o período 2010-2023. É realizado um exercício econométrico para
analisar os efeitos que o capital regulatório traz sobre o crédito e seu crescimento. Os resultados mostram que um maior capital regulatório diminui o ritmo de crescimento dos empréstimos na economia colombiana.
Referencias
Aiyar, S., Calomiris, C., & Wieladek, T. (2014). Does Macro‐Prudential Regulation Leak? Evidence from a UK Policy Experiment. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 46(1), 181-214. https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12086
Banco de la República. (s.f.a.). Tasas de interés de política monetaria. Consultado el 20 de julio de 2025. https://suameca.banrep.gov.co/estadisticas-economicas/informacionSerie/59/tasas_interes_politica_monetaria
Banco de la República. (s.f.b.). Índice de precios de la vivienda usada (IPVU). Consultado el de julio de 2025. https://suameca.banrep.gov.co/estadisticas-economicas/informacionSerie/100004/indice_precios_vivienda_usada_ipvu
Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) (2010). Countercyclical Capital Buffer Proposal. Bank for International Settlements. https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs172.htm
Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) (2017). Basel III: Finalising post-crisis reforms. 1-162. https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d424.htm
Borio, C., & Lowe, P. (2002). Assessing the Risk of Banking Crises. BIS Quarterly Review, 43-54. https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt0212e.pdf
Bridges, J., Gregory, D., Nielsen, M., Pezzini, S., Radia, A., & Spaltro, M. (2015). The Impact of Capital Requirements on Bank Lending [Bank of England, Working Paper, No. 486], 1-36. https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/working-paper/2014/the-impact-of-capital-requirements-on-bank-lending
Cerutti, E., Correa, R., Fiorentino, E., & Segalla, E. (2017). Changes in Prudential Policy Instruments - A New Cross-Country Database. International Journal of Central Banking, 13(1), 477-503. https://www.ijcb.org/journal/ijcb17q1a17.htm
Clavijo, S. (2018). Regulación y gestión de los riesgos financieros: una visión comparada. Asobancaria. https://www.asobancaria.com/biblioteca/regulacion-y-gestion-de-riesgos-financieros/
Dagher, J., Dell'Arriccia, G., Laeven, L., Ratnovski, L., & Tong, H. (2016). Benefits and Costs of Bank Capital [IMF Staff Discussion Note, No. 04], 1-38. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/Staff-Discussion-Notes/Issues/2016/12/31/Benefits-and-Costs-of-Bank-Capital-43710
Deli, Y., & Hasan, I. (2017). Real Effects of Bank Capital Regulations: Global Evidence. Journal of Banking & Finance, 82, 217-228. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2016.11.022
De Moraes, C., & de Mendonça, H. (2019). Bank’s Risk Measures and Monetary Policy: Evidence From a Large Emerging Economy. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 49, 121-132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2019.04.002
De Moraes, C., & Costa, A. (2023). Credit Behavior and Financial Stability in an Emerging Economy. Economic Systems, 47(2), 100999. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2022.100999
De Nicolò, G. (2015). Revisiting the Impact of Bank Capital Requirements on Lending and Real Activity. SSRN Electronic Journal, International Monetary Fund and CESifo. 1-37. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2688110
Galvis, J. C., & Hincapié, G. (2018). Effect of Banking Concentration on the Lending Channel: Evidence from Colombia. Economic Bulletin, 38(4), 2254-2265. http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2018/Volume38/EB-18-V38-I4-P205.pdf
Gambacorta, L., & Marques-Ibanez, D. (2011). The Bank Lending Channel: Lessons from the Crisis. Economic Policy, 26(66), 135-182. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0327.2011.00261.x
Gil, J. M. (2015). Relación entre política monetaria y estabilidad financiera: un análisis aplicado para Colombia. Ensayos sobre Política Económica, 33(77), 133-148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.espe.2015.04.001
Jordà, Ò., Schularick, M., & Taylor, A. M. (2010). Financial Crises, Credit Booms, and External Imbalances: 140 years of lessons. IMF Economic Review, 59(2), 340-378. https://www.imf.org/external/np/res/seminars/2010/arc/pdf/lt.pdf
Kaminsky, G., & Reinhart, C. (1999). The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payments Problems. American Economic Review, 89(3), 473-500. https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.89.3.473
Kennedy, M., & Palerm, A. (2014). Emerging Market Bond Spreads: The Role of Global and Domestic Factors from 2002 to 2011. Journal of International Money and Finance, 43, 70-87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.12.008
Klein, P. O., & Turk-Ariss, R. (2022). Bank Capital and Economic Activity. Journal of Financial Stability, 62, 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2022.101068
Koop, G., Pesaran, M. H., & Potter, S. M. (1996). Impulse Response Analysis in Nonlinear Multivariate Models. Journal of Econometrics, 74(1), 119-147. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(95)01753-4
Leeper, E. (1991). Equilibria Under ‘Active’ and ‘Passive’ Monetary Policies. Journal of Monetary Economics, 27(1), 129-147. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(91)90007-B
Lepetit, L., & Strobel, F. (2015). Bank Insolvency Risk and Z-score Measures: A Refinement. Finance Research Letters, 13, 214-224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2015.01.001
Lozano, I., & Guarín, A. (2014). Banking Fragility in Colombia: An Empirical Analysis Based on Balance Sheets. Ensayos sobre Política Económica, 32(75), 48-63. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.espe.2014.10.001
Ramos-Tallada, J. (2015). Bank Risks, Monetary Shocks and the Credit Channel in Brazil: Identification and Evidence from Panel Data. Journal of International Money and Finance, 55(April), 135-161. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.02.014
Reserva Federal de St. Louis (s.f.). CBOE Volatility Index: VIX (VIXCLS). Consultado el 20 de julio de 2025. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/VIXCLS
Schularick, M., & Taylor, A. M. (2012). Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles, and Financial Crises, 1870–2008. American Economic Review, 102(2), 1029-1061. https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.102.2.1029
Sims, C. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912017
Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia. (s.f.a.). Información periódica. Mensual. Consultado el 20 de julio de 2025. https://www.superfinanciera.gov.co/publicaciones/60826/informes-y-cifrascifrasestablecimientos-de-creditoinformacion-periodicamensual-60826/
Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia. (s.f.b.). Indicadores gerenciales - NIIF. Consultado el 20 de julio de 2025. https://www.superfinanciera.gov.co/publicaciones/10084493/informes-y-cifrascifrasestablecimientos-de-creditoinformacion-periodicamensualindicadores-gerenciales-niif-10084493/
Pesaran, H., & Shin, Y. (1998). Generalized Impulse Response Analysis in Linear Multivariate Models. Economics Letters, 58(1), 17-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-1765(97)00214-0
Wooldridge, J. M. 2003. Applications of Generalized Method of Moments Estimation. Journal of Economics Perspectives, 15(4), 87-100. https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.15.4.87
Cómo citar
APA
ACM
ACS
ABNT
Chicago
Harvard
IEEE
MLA
Turabian
Vancouver
Descargar cita
Licencia

Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 4.0.
Se autoriza la reproducción sin ánimo de lucro de los materiales, citando la fuente.














