Crecimiento pro pobre en México
Pro-Poor Growth in Mexico
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15446/ede.v29n55.77804Palabras clave:
crecimiento pro-pobre, democratización, crecimiento económico, trickle-down, medición de la pobreza, México (es)pro-poor growth, democratization, economic growth, trickle-down, poverty measurement, Mexico (en)
El objetivo de esta investigación es analizar el problema de la pobreza y la desigualdad del ingreso en México, en el contexto del proceso de democratización que ha experimentado el país en las tres últimas décadas, utilizando la metodología de crecimiento económico pro-pobre de Kakwani & Pernia (2000); Ravallion (2008) y Ravallion & Chen (2001), así como el llamado efecto igualador de Acemoglu et al. (2013), donde la democratización promueve políticas a favor de los pobres, mejorando la redistribución y reduciendo la desigualdad. Se analiza el periodo 1992-2014, que, en el plano político, marca la transición de no-democracia a la democracia. Los resultados sugieren que el crecimiento económico ha sido a favor de los pobres, aunque no en sentido estricto, pues no se observa mejoramiento de la distribución del ingreso.
The objective of this investigation is to analyze the problem of poverty and income inequality in Mexico, in the context of the process of democratization that the country has experienced in the last three decades, using the pro-poor economic growth methodology of Kakwani & Pernia (2000); Ravallion (2008) and Ravallion & Chen (2001), as well as the so-called equalizing effect of Acemoglu et al. (2013), where democratization promotes policies in favor of the poor, improving redistribution and reducing inequality. The period 1992-2014 is analyzed, which, in the political sphere, marks the transition from non-democracy to democracy. The results suggest that economic growth has been in favor of the poor, although, not in a strict sense, since there is not an observable improvement of income distribution.
Referencias
Acemoglu, D. (2008). Introduction to Modern Economic Growth. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Acemoglu, D., Naidu, S., Restrepo, P. & Robinson, J. A. (2013). Democracy, Redistribution and Inequality. NBER Working Paper Series No. 19746, National Bureau of Economic Research. Recuperado de https://www.nber.org/papers/w19746.pdf
Ahluwalia, M. S. (1976). Inequality, Poverty and Development. Journal of Development Economics, 3(4), 307–342. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3878(76)90027-4
Barro, J. R. (1996). Democracy and Growth. Journal of Economic Growth, 1(1), 1–27. Recuperado de https://www.jstor.org/stable/40215879
Bhagwati, J. N. (1988). Poverty and Public Policy. World Development, 16(5), 539–555. https://doi.org/10.1016/0305-750X(88)90184-2
Campos-Vázquez, R., Chávez, E. & Esquivel, G. (2017). Growth is (Really) Good for the (Really) Rich. The World Economy, 40(12), 2639-2675. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.12494
Chenery, H., Ahluwalia, M. S., Duloy, J., Bell, C. & Jolly, R. (1974). Redistribution With Growth: Policies to Improve Income Distribution in Developing Countries in the Context of Economic Growth. Nueva York: Oxford University Press.
Comité Técnico para la Medición de la Pobreza (CTMP) (2002). Medición de la pobreza: variantes metodológicas y estimación preliminar. Secretaría de Desarrollo Social. Recuperado de http://www.normateca.sedesol.gob.mx/work/models/SEDESOL/Resource/2155/1/images/Docu01.pdf
Consejo Nacional de Evaluación de la Política Social (CONEVAL). (2012). Medición de la pobreza. Recuperado de https://www.coneval.org.mx/Medicion/EDP/Paginas/Medicion-por-ingresos-1990-2012.aspx
Dalton, H. (1920). The Measurement of the Inequality of Incomes. The Economic Journal, 30(119), 348–361. https://doi.org/10.2307/2223525
Dietz, R. & O’Neill. (2013). Enough is Enough: Building a Sustainable Economy in a World of Finite Resources. Oakland: Berrett-Koehler.
Dollar, D. & Kraay, A. (2001). Growth is Good for the Poor. Policy Research Working Paper 2587. The World Bank. Recuperado de http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/419351468782165950/pdf/multi0page.pdf
Dollar, D. & Kraay, A. (2002). Growth is Good for the Poor. Journal of Economic Growth, 7(3), 195–225. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1020139631000
Duclos, J. Y. & Araar, A. (2006). Poverty and Equity: Measurement, Policy and Estimation with DAD. Nueva York: Springer.
Fajnzylber, P. (2018). Why Growth Alone is Not Enough to Reduce Poverty. What Can Evaluative Evidence Teach Us About Making Growth Inclusive? Independent Evaluation Group, World Bank Group. Recuperado de https://ieg.worldbankgroup.org/blog/why-growth-alone-not-enough-reduce-poverty
Fambon, S. (2017). Pro Poor Growth in Cameroon. STATISTIKA, 97(2), 95-109. Recuperado de https://www.czso.cz/documents/10180/45606525/32019717q2095.pdf/568a5d2a-1836-40c9-98a8-fc352f24cb85?version=1.1
Feenstra, R. C., Inklaar, R. & Timmer, M. P. (2015). The Next Generation of the Penn World Table. American Economic Review, 105(10), 3150–3182. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.20130954
Foster, J., Greer, J. & Thorbecke, E. (1984). A Class Of Decomposable Poverty Measures. Econometrica, 52(3), 761–766. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913475
Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Geografía e Informática (INEGI) (2019a). Anuario estadístico de los Estados Unidos Mexicanos. Recuperado de https://www.inegi.org.mx/app/buscador/default.html?q=anuario+estad%C3%ADstico+de+los+estados+unidos+mexicanos.
Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Geografía e Informática (INEGI) (2019b). Encuesta Nacional de Ingreso y gasto de los Hogares, ENIGH 1992, 1994, 1996, 2008, 2010, 2012 y 2014. Recuperado de https://www.inegi.org.mx/app/descarga/
Kakwani, N. & Pernia, E. M. (2000). What is Pro-Poor Growth? Asian Development Review, 18(1), 1–16. Recuperado de http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.177.1495&rep=rep1&type=pdf
Kakwani, N. & Son, H. H. (2008). Poverty Equivalent Growth Rate. Review of Income and Wealth, 54(4), 643–655. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4991.2008.00293.x
Kakwani, N., Côrtes, C. & Son, H. H. (2010). Linkages between Pro-Poor Growth, Social Programs and Labor Market: The Recent Brazilian Experience. World Development, 38(6), 881–894. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2010.02.015
Kakwani, N., Son, H. H., Qureshi, S. K. & Arif, G. (2003). Pro-Poor Growth: Concepts and Measurement with Country Case Studies [with comments]. The Pakistan Development. Recuperado de http://www.pide.org.pk/pdf/PDR/2003/Volume4/417-444.pdf
Klasen, S. & Reimers, M. (2017). Looking at Pro-Poor Growth from an Agricultural Perspective. World Development, 90, 147–168, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2016.09.003
Kwasi, F. A. (2017). Growth, Inequality, and Poverty Reduction in Developing Countries: Recent Global Evidence. Research In Economics, 71(2), 306–336. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rie.2016.05.005
Kraay, A. (2006). When is Growth Pro-Poor? Evidence from a Panel of Countries. Journal of Development Economics, 80(1), 198–227. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2005.02.004
Kravis, I. B. (1960). International Differences in the Distribution of Income. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 42(4), 408–416. Recuperado de https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/1925690.pdf
Kuznets, S. (1955). Economic Growth and Income Inequality. The American Economic Review, 45(1), 1–28. Recuperado de https://www.jstor.org/stable/1811581
Lübker, M., Smith, G. & Weeks, J. (2002). Growth and the Poor: A Comment on Dollar and Kraay. Journal of International Development, 14(5), 555–571. https://doi.org/10.1002/jid.911
Lustig, N. & Székely, M. (1997). México: evolución económica, pobreza y desigualdad. PNUD - BID - CEPAL. Recuperado de https://publications.iadb.org/es/publicacion/15125/mexico-evolucion-economica-pobreza-y-desigualdad
McCulloch, N. & Baulch, B. (1999). Assessing the Poverty Bias of Growth Methodology and an Application to Andhra Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh. IDS Working Paper 98. Recuperado de https://opendocs.ids.ac.uk/opendocs/bitstream/handle/123456789/3421/Wp98.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Medina, F. & Galván, M. (2014). ¿Qué es el crecimiento propobre? Fundamentos teóricos y metodologías para su medición. Serie Estudios Estadísticos Nº 89, Comisión Económica para América Latina (CEPAL). Recuperado de https://repositorio.cepal.org/bitstream/handle/11362/37044/S1420358_es.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
O’Neill, D. W. (2010). Economic Growth: Enough is Enough. Nature, 468(897), 370-371. https://doi.org/10.1038/468897b
Oshima, H. T. (1992). Kuznets’Curve and Asian Income Distribution Trends. Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, 33(1), 95–111. Recuperado de https://www.jstor.org/stable/43295931
Paukert, F. (1973). Income Distribution at Different Levels of Development: A Survey of Evidence. Int’l Lab. Rev. Recuperado de https://heinonline.org/HOL/LandingPage?handle=hein.journals/intlr108&div=18&id=&page=
Perera, L. D. H. & Lee, G. H. Y. (2013). Have Economic Growth and Institutional Quality Contributed to Poverty and Inequality Reduction in Asia? Journal of Asian Economics, 27, 71–86. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2013.06.002
Perkins, D. H., Radelet S. & Lindauer, D. L. (2006 [1983]). Economics of Development (6 ed.). Londres: W. W. Norton & Company.
Piketty, T. (2014). Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
Ravallion, M. (2004). Hacia una definición de crecimiento económico favorable a los pobres: una respuesta a Kakwani. One Pager Spanish No. 4, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth. Recuperado de http://www.ipc-undp.org/pub/esp/IPCOnePager4.pdf
Ravallion, M. (2008). ¿Cuál línea de pobreza? Una respuesta a Reddy. One Pager Spanish No. 53, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth. Recuperado de https://ipcig.org/pub/esp/IPCOnePager53.pdf
Ravallion, M. & Chen, S. (2001). Measuring Pro-Poor Growth. Policy Research Working Paper, 2666. The World Bank. Recuperado de http://library1.nida.ac.th/worldbankf/fulltext/wps02666.pdf
Roemer, M. & Gugerty, M. (1997). Does Economic Growth Reduce Poverty? Harvard Institute for International Development. Recuperado de http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.525.7199&rep=rep1&type=pdf
Shin I. (2012). Income Inequality and Economic Growth. Economic Modelling, 29(5), 2049–2057. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.02.011
Son, H. H. (2004). A Note on Pro-Poor Growth. Economics Letters, 82(3), 307-314. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2003.08.003
Son, H. H. (2007). Pro-Poor Growth: Concepts and Measures. ERD Technical Notes, No. 22, Asian Development Bank. Recuperado de https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/29865/tn-22-pro-poor-growth.pdf
Székely, M. (Ed.). (2005). Números que mueven al mundo: La medición de la pobreza en México. Secretaría de Desarrollo Social (SEDESOL). Ciudad de México. Editorial Miguel Ángel Porrúa.
Watts, H. W. (1968). An Economic Definition of Poverty. Institute for Research on Poverty, The University of Wisconsin. Recuperado de https://www.irp.wisc.edu/publications/dps/pdfs/dp568.pdf
World Bank. (1990). World Development Report 1990: Poverty. Recuperado de https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/5973
World Bank. (2019). World Development Data. Recuperado de https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.DDAY?end=2016&locations=MX&start=1984&view=chart
Wang, X., Xu, L. & Shang, X. (2014). China’s Pro-Poor Growth: Measurement and Implications. Journal of Social Service Research, 40(4), 520-529. https://doi.org/10.1080/01488376.2014.922523
Cómo citar
APA
ACM
ACS
ABNT
Chicago
Harvard
IEEE
MLA
Turabian
Vancouver
Descargar cita
CrossRef Cited-by
1. Jouse T. Ribeiro, Roberto Santolin. (2021). An evaluation of the structure of the labour market, assistance policies and sectoral productivity on the pro‐poor growth for Brazil from 2004 to 2014: A dynamic panel analysis. Journal of International Development, 33(5), p.927. https://doi.org/10.1002/jid.3565.
Dimensions
PlumX
Visitas a la página del resumen del artículo
Descargas
Licencia
Derechos de autor 2020 Ensayos de Economía

Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 4.0.
Se autoriza la reproducción sin ánimo de lucro de los materiales, citando la fuente.














